NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today released its update to the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, maintaining its expectations for an above-normal season. As we enter the peak months (August through October) of the Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA scientists are predicting an 85 percent chance of an above-normal season, with the likelihood of 13 to 16 named storms, with seven to nine becoming hurricanes, of which three to five could become major hurricanes (Category 3 strength or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale). To be truthful, I really do not believe any of the predictions of the scientists because I don't think our science is capable of such prediction.
At the moment, there are two potential hurricanes, one in the Atlantic and one entering the Gulf of Mexico (not counting a Pacific counterpart named Flossie just South of the big island of Hawaii.) If named, they will be Dean and Erin.
I wonder if there will be more and more severe hurricanes now that global warming is here and the nation's capitol and many other places are seeing their old oak trees dying from lack of water? It seems so.
ReplyDeleteNice photography.
So this is where they make the tropics forecasts we see on The Weather Channel.
ReplyDeleteActually, that is not quite so. The official forecast is by:
ReplyDeleteNOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
Tropical Prediction Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
This is the main campus of Florida International University
NHC
The picture is NOAA "lab" that does a lot more than just hurricane prediction.